Germany going through longest recession ever – Handelsblatt – INA NEWS

The German economic system is on target for its longest post-war recession, with a 3rd consecutive yr of contraction projected for 2025, in line with the Handelsblatt Analysis Institute (HRI).

The institute predicts a 0.1% decline in 2025, following contractions of 0.3% in 2023 and 0.2% in 2024.

This financial stoop surpasses the two-year downturn of the early 2000s and displays the compounded results of an power disaster, persistent inflation, and the Covid-19 pandemic.

“The German economic system is within the midst of its biggest disaster in post-war historical past,” HRI chief economist Bert Rurup mentioned.

Demographic challenges, akin to an getting old inhabitants, are including to the pressure. The HRI estimates Germany’s progress potential has fallen to only 0.5% yearly.

“The economic system is at the start of a powerful getting old spurt,” Rurup famous. Official knowledge from the Federal Statistical Workplace, anticipated on January 15, is more likely to affirm the contraction in 2024.

Whereas the HRI forecasts modest restoration in 2026, progress is predicted to achieve simply 0.9%, far under pre-crisis ranges. The German central financial institution has additionally adjusted its 2025 progress outlook, revising it down from 1.1% to 0.2% in December.

Germany’s shift from inexpensive Russian fuel to dearer liquefied pure fuel (LNG) from the US has pushed up power prices, severely affecting producers and small companies. Rising prices have led to shutdowns and bankruptcies throughout industries, together with main gamers like Volkswagen.

Earlier than the escalation of the Ukraine battle in 2022, Germany relied on Russian fuel for over half of its power wants. Following EU sanctions on Moscow, fuel deliveries have been drastically decreased or reduce off completely. In September 2022, the Nord Stream pipelines, which transported Russian fuel to Germany, have been destroyed by explosions. On January 1, 2025, Russia was compelled to formally droop fuel transit to the EU by way of Ukraine.

Germany’s export sector, significantly high-value manufacturing, stays one of many few strengths within the economic system. Nonetheless, it additionally faces challenges from world uncertainties and excessive power costs.

The lack of inexpensive Russian power and rising prices have made restoration troublesome. Former Chancellor Angela Merkel just lately criticized the choice to desert Russian fuel. In an interview with France 2 TV in December, she referred to as the previous association a “win-win scenario,” saying it supplied Germany with low-cost power, whereas now costs have “exploded.”

The financial disaster has grow to be a urgent subject for Germans. A ballot in December carried out by public broadcaster ARD revealed that the economic system is the highest concern for voters. The early common election scheduled for February 23 follows the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s center-left coalition in November.09:09

Germany going through longest recession ever – Handelsblatt





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