With out Nitish Kumar, energy in Bihar is a distant dream for Tejashwi, political which means of RJD supply?

Simply earlier than the meeting elections in Bihar, Rashtriya Janata Dal has created a stir by giving political supply to Nitish Kumar. RJD MLA and Lalu Yadav’s shut brother Virendra welcomed Nitish Kumar and expressed the potential for the sport. Virendra says that there are not any pals and enemies in politics. Nitish ought to include us, he’s welcome.

This assertion of brother Virendra has come at a time when Tejashwi Yadav, who’s making an attempt to change into the Chief Minister, is roaming round fixing the issues of his group.

What’s the political which means of the supply in election yr?

The politics of Nitish Kumar and Lalu Yadav was concurrently based mostly on socialist ideology. Each the leaders are the merchandise of JP Motion. Each have been collectively until 1995, however later their paths separated. Nitish went into alliance with BJP, whereas Lalu fashioned a brand new celebration and went with Congress.

In 2005, Nitish turned the Chief Minister of Bihar by politically defeating RJD. Until 2013, all the pieces was high quality between Nitish’s celebration JDU and BJP, however as quickly as BJP declared Narendra Modi because the face of PM, Nitish acquired offended.

In 2014, BJP and Lalu’s celebration contested elections individually in Bihar, which instantly benefited BJP. In view of this, Nitish and Lalu fashioned an alliance in 2015. Nitish and Lalu remained collectively from 2015 to 2017. Nitish got here once more with Lalu in 2022. This time the alliance of each will final until the yr 2024.

In January 2024, Nitish broke the settlement with Lalu. Now earlier than the meeting elections in Bihar, RJD is providing to come back along with Nitish. RJD’s technique behind the supply is to convey Nitish Kumar’s picture again into the limelight.

Nitish Kumar has taken U-turn 4 instances within the final 10 years. Nonetheless, now Nitish is speaking about not going right here and there. Nitish Kumar has additionally introduced this in Pragati Yatra.

Nitish is critical to come back to energy, 3 details

1. RJD’s politics is predicated on social justice and caste mobilization. Lalu Yadav had began it in 1990 to eradicate the higher caste leaders of Congress. Later he ready the MY (Muslim and Yadav) equation. All the things was high quality until 2005, however this yr Nitish made a dent on this equation of RJD.

Nitish captured the chair of Bihar by wooing the higher castes together with Mahadalit and EBC. Now RJD has no plan to oust Nitish from energy. Within the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, RJD tried to provide choice to non-Yadav OBC and Dalit communities, however there was a rebel inside the celebration.

2. In 2010, Lalu Yadav’s celebration had gained solely 26 seats. When RJD fashioned an alliance with Nitish in 2015, the variety of seats elevated to 80. Quite the opposite, if RJD contested the Lok Sabha elections of 2019 and 2024 with out Nitish, it didn’t get success. In 2024, Lalu Yadav’s daughter Rohini Acharya herself misplaced the election.

3. In 2020, RJD entered the fray with out Nitish beneath the management of Tejashwi Yadav. It gained 75 seats. RJD alliance acquired 110 seats. This election was carried out through the Corona interval. The principle cause for the rise in RJD’s seats was the anti-incumbency wave arising in opposition to Nitish.

This time, Prashant Kishor can be within the fray to garner anti-incumbency votes. Within the latest meeting by-elections, PK’s celebration acquired about 10 p.c votes on 4 seats. Due to PK’s celebration, Tejashwi’s efficiency on two seats acquired spoiled.

It’s being mentioned that if PK enters the sector with the identical energy in 2025, then there could be a recreation with Tejashwi. Attributable to PK’s opposition and Nitish being in energy, it’s not capable of intensify the caste combat.

RJD can be scuffling with inner combat

RJD is at the moment in alliance with Congress and ML. Congress has already began placing stress on seat sharing and energy sharing. In 2020, Congress had acquired 70 seats beneath the settlement, however the celebration may win solely 20. This time too the celebration is eyeing 70 seats.

Congress has additionally began placing stress on the Deputy CM. Other than Congress, RJD can be scuffling with the inner combat of the group. Get together’s state president Jagdanand Singh is alleged to be offended. Highly effective chief Jagdanand Singh is taken into account near Lalu.

One other senior chief Abdul Bari Siddiqui had lately raised questions on RJD’s technique via a press release. Siddiqui mentioned that when folks elevate questions on folks of Muslim group, RJD’s Yadav staff stay silent. In such a state of affairs the equation can’t be profitable.

With out Nitish Kumar, energy in Bihar is a distant dream for Tejashwi, political which means of RJD supply?

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